🧭 Rebound Radar

Down 25% in a month. Coming back, or not?

Every top-200 coin that has fallen 25% or more in 30 days, ranked by its chance of getting back to where it was a month ago within the next 60 days. Each coin is tracked from the day it lands here and graded in public.

On the radar today

of the top 200, down 25%+ in 30 days

Comeback candidates

top 30% of today's comeback scores

Being tracked

graded at recovery or after 60 days

Backtest edge

2.7×

comeback rate, candidates vs unlikely

Today · 2026-10-29

Today's radar

Big number = comeback score (0–100), this coin's rank among today's declining coins. "To recover" = how far it must rise to get back to its price 30 days ago.

Comeback candidate 5Back-tested: 18% got back to their pre-drop price within 60 days

Pons

PONS

30 days-47%

From 90d high-68%

To recover+100%

Useless Coin

USELESS

30 days-29%

From 90d high-51%

To recover+48%

Monad

MON

30 days-25%

From 90d high-37%

To recover+36%

Cash Cat

CASHCAT

30 days-44%

From 90d high-65%

To recover+74%

The Graph

GRT

30 days-27%

From 90d high-38%

To recover+38%

Watching 7Back-tested: 13% recovered

Maple Finance

SYRUP

30 days-27%

From 90d high-35%

To recover+41%

30 days-32%

From 90d high-40%

To recover+56%

IOTA

30 days-26%

From 90d high-30%

To recover+37%

Pieverse

PIEVERSE

30 days-30%

From 90d high-44%

To recover+47%

edgeX

EDGE

30 days-34%

From 90d high-43%

To recover+56%

VeChain

VET

30 days-28%

From 90d high-33%

To recover+43%

Lighter

LIT

30 days-34%

From 90d high-45%

To recover+39%

Unlikely to recover 5Back-tested: only 7% recovered

Sei

SEI

30 days-31%

From 90d high-32%

To recover+47%

Telcoin

TEL

30 days-38%

From 90d high-38%

To recover+58%

Stellar

XLM

30 days-26%

From 90d high-26%

To recover+36%

DoubleZero

30 days-57%

From 90d high-60%

To recover+137%

Hedera

HBAR

30 days-39%

From 90d high-39%

To recover+64%

Tracking

Every flagged coin, followed for 60 days

The verdict is frozen on the day a coin is flagged, so the scorecard can't be rewritten later.

Coin	Flagged	Verdict then	Since flagged	Best since	To recover	Days left
HBARHedera	2026-10-29	Unlikely to recover	-1%	+0%	+64%	60d
XLMStellar	2026-10-29	Unlikely to recover	-1%	+0%	+36%	60d
TELTelcoin	2026-10-29	Unlikely to recover	+1%	+1%	+58%	60d
IOTAIOTA	2026-10-29	Watching	-2%	+0%	+37%	60d
0G0G	2026-10-29	Watching	-5%	+0%	+56%	60d
SYRUPMaple Finance	2026-10-29	Watching	-2%	+0%	+41%	60d
MONMonad	2026-10-29	Comeback candidate	-1%	+0%	+36%	60d
SUISui	2026-10-28	Unlikely to recover	+1%	+1%	+35%	59d
GRTThe Graph	2026-10-28	Unlikely to recover	-1%	+0%	+63%	59d
QNTQuant	2026-10-28	Watching	-2%	+0%	+47%	59d
VIRTUALVirtuals Protocol	2026-10-28	Watching	-2%	+0%	+36%	59d
IMXImmutable	2026-10-28	Watching	+1%	+1%	+37%	59d
CCCanton	2026-10-27	Unlikely to recover	+3%	+3%	+33%	58d
GRAMGram (prev. Toncoin)	2026-10-27	Unlikely to recover	+1%	+2%	+32%	58d
MNTMantle	2026-10-27	Unlikely to recover	-2%	+1%	+38%	58d
KASKaspa	2026-10-27	Unlikely to recover	+4%	+4%	+31%	58d
KITEKite	2026-10-27	Watching	-0%	+3%	+34%	58d
EIGENEigenCloud	2026-10-27	Comeback candidate	+3%	+3%	+32%	58d
DYDXdYdX	2026-10-27	Comeback candidate	+9%	+9%	+23%	58d
ONDOOndo	2026-10-26	Unlikely to recover	+4%	+4%	+29%	57d
PENGUPudgy Penguins	2026-10-26	Watching	+6%	+6%	+30%	57d
CAKEPancakeSwap	2026-10-26	Watching	+1%	+3%	+34%	57d
SEISei	2026-10-26	Watching	-0%	+0%	+42%	57d
ENSEthereum Name Service	2026-10-26	Watching	+1%	+1%	+35%	57d
TWTTrust Wallet Token	2026-10-26	Watching	+9%	+9%	+28%	57d
ARBArbitrum	2026-10-26	Watching	+2%	+2%	+33%	57d
WIFdogwifhat	2026-10-26	Watching	+2%	+2%	+38%	57d
FETArtificial Superintelligence Alliance	2026-10-26	Watching	+4%	+4%	+36%	57d
EGLDMultiversX	2026-10-26	Watching	+8%	+8%	+32%	57d
LDOLido DAO	2026-10-26	Watching	+2%	+4%	+32%	57d
JTOJito	2026-10-26	Comeback candidate	-1%	+3%	+36%	57d
ARArweave	2026-10-26	Comeback candidate	+3%	+3%	+33%	57d
DEEPDeepBook Protocol	2026-10-26	Comeback candidate	+4%	+4%	+35%	57d
FORMFour	2026-10-26	Comeback candidate	+2%	+2%	+38%	57d
XPLPlasma	2026-10-25	Unlikely to recover	+4%	+4%	+45%	56d
VETVeChain	2026-10-25	Watching	-10%	+0%	+49%	56d
UNIUniswap	2026-10-23 replay	Unlikely to recover	+4%	+4%	+40%	54d
XECeCash	2026-10-23 replay	Comeback candidate	+3%	+8%	+39%	54d
FARTCOINFartcoin	2026-10-23 replay	Comeback candidate	-7%	+0%	+55%	54d
ZAMAZama	2026-10-23 replay	Comeback candidate	+4%	+4%	+33%	54d
AIOZAIOZ Network	2026-10-22 replay	Comeback candidate	-6%	+0%	+47%	53d
ZECZcash	2026-10-19 replay	Unlikely to recover	+19%	+19%	+16%	50d
PIEVERSEPieverse	2026-10-19 replay	Comeback candidate	-6%	+1%	+60%	50d
ZENHorizen	2026-10-19 replay	Comeback candidate	+2%	+7%	+38%	50d
PONSPons	2026-10-15 replay	Comeback candidate	-17%	+1%	+138%	46d
MMemeCore	2026-10-14 replay	Unlikely to recover	+24%	+33%	+9%	45d
BBUILDon	2026-10-10 replay	Watching	-7%	+2%	+48%	41d
LITLighter	2026-10-09 replay	Watching	-11%	+6%	+51%	40d
FFFalcon Finance	2026-10-09 replay	Watching	-11%	+9%	+59%	40d
2ZDoubleZero	2026-10-09 replay	Comeback candidate	-20%	+6%	+78%	40d
USELESSUseless Coin	2026-10-09 replay	Comeback candidate	-15%	+8%	+77%	40d
EDGEedgeX	2026-10-05 replay	Watching	-24%	+0%	+78%	36d
SPXSPX6900	2026-10-04 replay	Unlikely to recover	-13%	+2%	+56%	35d
CASHCATCash Cat	2026-10-03 replay	Watching	-32%	+7%	+166%	34d
TRUMPOFFICIAL TRUMP	2026-09-29 replay	Unlikely to recover	-16%	+5%	+58%	30d
DOGDog (Bitcoin)	2026-09-29 replay	Comeback candidate	-4%	+8%	+41%	30d
HHumanity	2026-09-13 replay	Watching	-29%	+12%	+88%	14d

Graded

Recently graded

Recovered = got back to its price from 30 days before it was flagged. Otherwise graded after 60 days on the flag price: Bounced (+25% at some point), Fell further (20%+ lower at the end) or Still down.

Coin	Flagged	Verdict then	Best	At grading	Graded	Outcome
STABLEStable	2026-08-25 replay	Comeback candidate	+1%	-8%	2026-10-24	Still down
CCCanton	2026-08-06 replay	Unlikely to recover	+32%	+25%	2026-10-05	Bounced +25%
WEMIXWEMIX	2026-08-04 replay	Comeback candidate	+8%	-0%	2026-10-03	Still down
币安人生币安人生	2026-08-04 replay	Watching	+0%	-15%	2026-10-03	Still down
CAPCap	2026-09-25 replay	Watching	+40%	+40%	2026-10-02	Recovered
JTOJito	2026-09-16 replay	Comeback candidate	+43%	+43%	2026-09-27	Recovered
XPLPlasma	2026-07-30 replay	Comeback candidate	+45%	+45%	2026-09-25	Recovered
XECeCash	2026-08-18 replay	Comeback candidate	+46%	+46%	2026-09-23	Recovered
EIGENEigenCloud	2026-08-08 replay	Watching	+45%	+45%	2026-09-23	Recovered
GRASSGrass	2026-07-25 replay	Comeback candidate	+29%	+29%	2026-09-23	Bounced +25%
DEXEDeXe	2026-07-22 replay	Unlikely to recover	+0%	-70%	2026-09-20	Fell further
NIGHTMidnight	2026-07-21 replay	Comeback candidate	+33%	+31%	2026-09-19	Bounced +25%
TELTelcoin	2026-07-19 replay	Comeback candidate	+9%	-19%	2026-09-17	Still down
BBUILDon	2026-07-30 replay	Comeback candidate	+44%	+44%	2026-09-15	Recovered
SENTSentient	2026-07-17 replay	Comeback candidate	+18%	+18%	2026-09-15	Still down
JTOJito	2026-07-17 replay	Comeback candidate	+16%	-18%	2026-09-15	Still down
WLDWorldcoin	2026-07-16 replay	Comeback candidate	+18%	-7%	2026-09-14	Still down
AKTAkash Network	2026-07-15 replay	Watching	+5%	-6%	2026-09-13	Still down
TAOBittensor	2026-07-15 replay	Unlikely to recover	+32%	+16%	2026-09-13	Bounced +25%
GENIUSGenius Terminal	2026-07-13 replay	Comeback candidate	+16%	-15%	2026-09-11	Still down
PIPi	2026-07-13 replay	Watching	+8%	+4%	2026-09-11	Still down
AEROAerodrome Finance	2026-08-03 replay	Watching	+55%	+55%	2026-09-08	Recovered
TIACelestia	2026-08-15 replay	Unlikely to recover	+44%	+44%	2026-09-07	Recovered
DYDXdYdX	2026-07-04 replay	Comeback candidate	+6%	-16%	2026-09-02	Still down
USELESSUseless Coin	2026-07-25 replay	Comeback candidate	+69%	+69%	2026-09-01	Recovered
GLMGolem	2026-07-02 replay	Watching	+13%	+5%	2026-08-31	Still down
NEARNEAR Protocol	2026-07-02 replay	Watching	+14%	+1%	2026-08-31	Still down
ICPInternet Computer	2026-07-02 replay	Watching	+18%	+9%	2026-08-31	Still down
GRAMGram (prev. Toncoin)	2026-07-02 replay	Unlikely to recover	+14%	-14%	2026-08-31	Still down
ZRX0x Protocol	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+30%	+24%	2026-08-30	Bounced +25%
RSRReserve Rights	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+43%	+32%	2026-08-30	Bounced +25%
ZBCNZebec Network	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+7%	-13%	2026-08-30	Still down
ZENHorizen	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+43%	+28%	2026-08-30	Bounced +25%
MANADecentraland	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+23%	+19%	2026-08-30	Still down
ATHAethir	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+25%	+17%	2026-08-30	Still down
IMXImmutable	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+27%	+13%	2026-08-30	Bounced +25%
INJInjective	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+25%	+14%	2026-08-30	Still down
GALAGala	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+12%	-20%	2026-08-30	Fell further
PEAQpeaq	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+24%	+21%	2026-08-30	Still down
NEONeo	2026-07-01 replay	Comeback candidate	+22%	+11%	2026-08-30	Still down

Scorecard

Does the verdict hold up?

Backtest: 10,840 declines from 2025-10-01 to 2026-08-01, data the model never saw while training. Graded here: every coin this page has flagged and graded. Coins tagged replay were flagged by replaying CoinMarketCap history from Jul 1, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026, day by day, with a copy of the model trained only on data up to Sep 30, 2025, so it had never seen those months. Everything after that is live.

Verdict	Backtest recovered	Bounced +25%	Fell 20%+ more	Graded here	Recovered	Bounced	Fell further
Comeback candidate	18.2%	22%	39%	38	42%	18%	3%
Watching	12.6%	20%	38%	39	44%	10%	3%
Unlikely to recover	6.7%	21%	35%	26	8%	42%	15%
All declines	12.5%	21%	37%	103

Read it honestly: the model is good at telling which coins tend to win back their losses (candidates recover about 2.7× as often as "unlikely"), but about a third of every group still drops another 20%+. Candidates are often the more volatile coins: bigger swings both ways. The backtest only includes coins still in today's top 200, so coins that died are missing and real recovery rates are lower. The replay has a smaller version of the same gap (it starts from today's top 200); coins flagged live are graded whatever happens to them.

How it works

1 · FlagAny top-200 coin (no stablecoins) down 25%+ over 30 days on CoinMarketCap data.

2 · ScoreA model trained on 3 years of declines weighs 20 signals: depth of the drop, distance from its 90-day low and high, size, volatility, volume, RSI, Bitcoin's trend and market mood.

3 · RankToday's declining coins are ranked against each other: top 30% Comeback candidate, middle 40% Watching, bottom 30% Unlikely to recover.

4 · GradeRecovered when it gets back to its pre-drop price; otherwise after 60 days: Bounced (+25% at some point), Fell further (20%+ lower) or Still down.

An experiment, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile and coins can go to zero.